
Solidifying
earlier thoughts about how each of the Commissioners might vote, a recent piece in
Bloomberg highlights key opinions that Deborah Tate might be the swing vote in the merger between Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. and XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc.
As a refresher: Deborah Taylor Tate is one of three Republicans on the five-member Federal Communications Commission. And, well, this all comes down to politics (doesn't everything?).
"It's not clear what she would want," said Stifel Nicolaus & Co. analyst Blair Levin, a former FCC chief of staff who is based in Washington. Republican FCC Chairman Kevin Martin recommended approval of the merger on June 16th, and the remaining Republican member, Robert McDowell, "pretty clearly" will vote for the takeover, Levin said.
But the agency's two Democrats, Copps and Adelstein, have consistently opposed media consolidation. So opposition is more probable from them - though not a given. Assuming that Copps and Adelstein continue to lean towards a blanket position against any consolidation of major media, then that would give Tate the decisive vote.
"The attention focused on Commissioner Tate in this merger suggests that at least the parties themselves believe she is undecided," said Paul Gallant, an analyst for Stanford Group in Washington and a former FCC official.
Tate has historically fought against childhood obesity and broadcast indecency. She is "a leading voice on issues affecting families and children," according to her biography on the FCC's Web site. Using that as a base assumption, I would figure that Sirius-XM are highlighting their proposed family-friendly packages. And even though satellite radio is known for it's "raunchy" content (that's what makes the headlines at least), it does offer child-centric content that you literally can't get anywhere else (e.g., Sirius Kids Stuff and XM Kids).
While Tate usually votes with her Republican colleagues, she has sometimes split from Martin and opposed him on two cable regulations late last year.
"She's known to be consumer-oriented, and yet she's a loyal Republican, so it's a tough one for her," said Howard Liberman, an attorney at Drinker, Biddle & Reath LLP in Washington who represents New York-based Primosphere Limited Partnership.
Additionally, Tate has said she encourages market-based solutions, with competition ensuring consumer benefits.
"I find myself trying to figure out how to balance the needs of the consumer with the needs of industry," Tate said in April 2006. "It's not always easy."
[
Bloomberg]
UPDATE: Sirius-XM has most recently held meetings with XM Satellite Radio (
PDF), the National Council of Women's Organization (
PDF), the Parent-Television Council (
PDF), and the National Tax Payer's Union (
PDF) -- all urging for approval of the merger. In addition, the RIAA also met with Commissioner Tate (
PDF).