
A former trial attorney for the FCC
has suggested that the NAB could attempt to overturn the merger between Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. and XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. - if officially approved - but is it really possible?
Orbitcast's discussions with an antitrust lawyer suggest that the chances are slim-to-none that the NAB can stop this.
Don't tell that to the NAB though. In
a recent statement, NAB spokesperson Dennis Wharton said: "Given such overwhelming opposition, we're not convinced the final chapter of this book has been written." Suggesting that the NAB may already have an appeal in the works.
WSJ Deal Journal
has more details on how the NAB could try to apply the brakes:
- Appeal to the FCC by filing a petition, though the Commission is unlikely to second-guess itself, says Bryan Cave LLP lawyer Jerome Boros.
- Push anti-deal legislation - odds are 500 to 1 that would happen according to Boros.
- Take it to the US Court of Appeals, which was highlighted yesterday. This serves has the NAB's best chance, says Boros.
But does the NAB really have a case?An antitrust lawyer, who asked to be identified as Mark S., told Orbitcast that an NAB suit would be frivilous. Since there was no appeal for the DOJ decision, and the time to do so has expired, then antitrust is not a concern. The NAB can call it a "monopoly" all they want, but the DOJ has determined that it's not one.
The only aspect that the NAB can challenge, according to the antitrust lawyer, is the license transfer itself and whether the FCC's decision was "in the public interest." This would be subject to a "arbitrary and capricious" standard - the most highly deferential standard there is and almost impossible to overcome - especially where the record is so volumninous and there is a split in the vote.
Finally, Mark disputes the notion that the decision wouldn't be delayed until a Democrat is in the Whitehouse. The only way to stop the decision would be with a restraining order and an injunction against the FCC from voting and approving. According to the antitrust lawyer, in the entire history of the FCC an injunction has never been issued against a ruling or decision of an administrative branch.
Only Congress can accomplish such a injuction, and it takes both House and Senate votes - and they're about to go on break for summer.
In other words, once Tate votes and the official tally is in:
done deal.