Carmel Group now thinks Satellite merger is good
Saturday, June 30, 2007 at 8:26 AM
Jimmy Schaeffler, Senior Analyst and Chairman for the Carmel Group, is quoted in The Denver Post as saying that a satellite merger makes "a ton of sense."
Now mind you, he's not talking about Satellite Radio... he's talking about Satellite TV (DBS). But that's precisely my point.
"All of a sudden with the telcos involved, you have competition," said Jimmy Schaeffler, senior multichannel analyst for the Carmel Group. "It (a merger) has always made a ton of sense. ... Look at the billions they spend in redundancies."
Note that The Carmel Group has said they have a record of opposing mergers that they deem as "anti-competitive" such as the proposed Sirius-XM merger. They point to their similar opposition to the DirecTV-EchoStar merger as an example of their historical stance.
The DirecTV-EchoStar merger was rejected just 4 years ago. And in this increasing fast-paced media environment, a lot can change in those four years.
Verizon is aggressively rolling out its FiOS TV service, and now has around 500,000 customers. AT&T's U-verse service has more than 40,000 customers in 23 markets. These are two companies that have a massive existing consumer base that they can easily upsell these new services to. With the telcos involved, Schaeffler now appears to see viable competition for both satellite and cable TV providers.
And that's video based services.
Audio services require far less bandwidth, and so the barrier to entry is much lower than video. Take a look at Muzak and DMX - and soon Slacker - who all utilize existing satellites to broadcast their audio content. A company doesn't need to launch satellites to be a satellite player. (That's ignoring the IP-based services from mobile providers... and is there really any difference between 1,300 HD Radio stations and DARS repeater towers?)
My point is that The Carmel Group took the position of opposing the EchoStar-DirecTV merger using the same short-sighted logic that they're applying to the Sirius-XM merger. (Let's not forget: they also took a completely different position on "competition" in a non-NAB commissioned report.)
So what happens in the years to come?
Jimmy Schaeffler, Senior Analyst and Chairman for the Carmel Group, is quoted in The Denver Post as saying that a satellite merger makes "a ton of sense."
Now mind you, he's not talking about Satellite Radio... he's talking about Satellite TV (DBS). But that's precisely my point.
"All of a sudden with the telcos involved, you have competition," said Jimmy Schaeffler, senior multichannel analyst for the Carmel Group. "It (a merger) has always made a ton of sense. ... Look at the billions they spend in redundancies."
Note that The Carmel Group has said they have a record of opposing mergers that they deem as "anti-competitive" such as the proposed Sirius-XM merger. They point to their similar opposition to the DirecTV-EchoStar merger as an example of their historical stance.
The DirecTV-EchoStar merger was rejected just 4 years ago. And in this increasing fast-paced media environment, a lot can change in those four years.
Verizon is aggressively rolling out its FiOS TV service, and now has around 500,000 customers. AT&T's U-verse service has more than 40,000 customers in 23 markets. These are two companies that have a massive existing consumer base that they can easily upsell these new services to. With the telcos involved, Schaeffler now appears to see viable competition for both satellite and cable TV providers.
And that's video based services.
Audio services require far less bandwidth, and so the barrier to entry is much lower than video. Take a look at Muzak and DMX - and soon Slacker - who all utilize existing satellites to broadcast their audio content. A company doesn't need to launch satellites to be a satellite player. (That's ignoring the IP-based services from mobile providers... and is there really any difference between 1,300 HD Radio stations and DARS repeater towers?)
My point is that The Carmel Group took the position of opposing the EchoStar-DirecTV merger using the same short-sighted logic that they're applying to the Sirius-XM merger. (Let's not forget: they also took a completely different position on "competition" in a non-NAB commissioned report.)
So what happens in the years to come?





