Fool's Worst Stock for 2007: XM Satellite Radio
Thursday, December 21, 2006 at 12:12 PM
Oh lookie here, the Motley Fool is at least equally against both satellite radio stocks when it comes to investing in 2007, also giving XM Satellite Radio the label of The Worst Stock for 2007 (and yes kids, I did miss this article an hour ago).
Of particular focus on Fool's article is XM's ever decreasing equity value. Their thought is that the drop in shareholder value can only make sense if XM were to dominate the market - like eBay or Amazon. They just don't see that happening with big players like terrestrial radio or Apple in place.
The Fool also calls into question XM's prediction of reaching 20 million subscribers by 2010 - they don't see that happening either. It's on this point I vehemently disagree. We have yet to reach the full potential of the OEM channel, and while the conversion rate is going to go down, the exposure if going to increase. Still, a lot could change in 3 years (just look at satrad retail marketshare).
Oh lookie here, the Motley Fool is at least equally against both satellite radio stocks when it comes to investing in 2007, also giving XM Satellite Radio the label of The Worst Stock for 2007 (and yes kids, I did miss this article an hour ago).
Of particular focus on Fool's article is XM's ever decreasing equity value. Their thought is that the drop in shareholder value can only make sense if XM were to dominate the market - like eBay or Amazon. They just don't see that happening with big players like terrestrial radio or Apple in place.
The Fool also calls into question XM's prediction of reaching 20 million subscribers by 2010 - they don't see that happening either. It's on this point I vehemently disagree. We have yet to reach the full potential of the OEM channel, and while the conversion rate is going to go down, the exposure if going to increase. Still, a lot could change in 3 years (just look at satrad retail marketshare).


Joan Lordi Amble, Executive Vice President and Corporate Comptroller for American Express, has joined XM Satellite Radio's board of directors.
NPD Group's November sales data continue to show - once again - a consecutive decline in satellite radio retail demand relative to last year.
Speaking at the UBS Global Media & Communications Conference on Wednesday, XM Satellite Radio's Chairman of the Board, Gary Parsons, said that the shift to an OEM driven model occured "faster than expected" this year.